Miami Hurricanes at Notre Dame Fighting Irish Home Team Total: Market Maker [MM] Release & Red Team Analysis
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- Release Line / Price
- Market Maker [MM] Release · Side & units locked until kickoff
- Current Consensus across 12 books
- 31.5 (8 consensus books · 12 tracked)
- Market Move
- 31.5 to 31.5 (flat since open)
- WagerBird Fair Line vs. Consensus Delta
- 2.5 pts delta vs 31.5 consensus
- Lane CLV record
- CFB team totals: 30 Beat / 6 Tied / 22 Lost (58 measured)
Red Team Risk Factors & Matchup Context
Notre Dame averaged 41.14 points per game through seven games, and its season offense offers a clear route to beating this number. Carr's 16 passing touchdowns against one interception show that the BYU game need not define his performance. Miami's defense could give up scores if Notre Dame sustains its run game and finishes drives. Short fields or an early Notre Dame lead could create enough scoring opportunities to lift the team total past the projection.
Why is the MIA @ ND Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIA @ ND Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 31.5+105 | 31.5-125 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 31.5+102 | 31.5-136 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 31.5+100 | 31.5-130 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 30.5-130 | 30.5+102 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 31.5-105 | 31.5-125 | Fanatics |
Full market: 12 sportsbooks, consensus 31.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Summary: MIA @ ND Home Team Total
Across 12 tracked sportsbooks, the MIA @ ND Home Team Total moved from an opening number of 31.5 to 31.5.
Best current licensed partner quotes: Over 30.5 -130 at FanDuel; Under 31.5 -125 at BetMGM. Quoting books currently span 1.0 pt across the market.
CFB Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (30 Beat, 6 Tied, 22 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 30 | 6 | 22 | 58 | 57.7% |
| Last 30 days | 10 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 55.6% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Hurricanes at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Home Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/miami-hurricanes-at-notre-dame-fighting-irish-home-team-total-2026-11-07-27444" title="Miami Hurricanes at Notre Dame Fighting Irish Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/miami-hurricanes-at-notre-dame-fighting-irish-home-team-total-2026-11-07-27444">MIA @ ND Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>