CFB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: COLO -3.5 → -3 (+0.5 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the COLO @ ASU spread moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 36 books
COLO +3 (22 consensus books · 36 tracked)
Market Move
ASU -3.5 to -3 (0.5 pts toward COLO)
Lane CLV record
CFB spreads: 67 Beat / 11 Tied / 47 Lost (125 measured)

Why is the COLO @ ASU spread moving?

  • Market consensus moved from -3 to -3.5 toward ASU across 7 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward COLO across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

COLO
Vig-free consensus +3 +105 (48.7% across 22 books)
Best price: +3.5 -111 at ProphetX
ASU
Vig-free consensus -3 -105 (51.3% across 22 books)
Best price: -3 -115 at Fanatics

COLO @ ASU Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookCOLOASUUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+3.5-120-3.5-108BetMGM
Caesars+3-102-3-118Caesars
DraftKings+3-102-3-118DraftKings
FanDuel+3.5-120-3.5-102FanDuel
Fanatics+3-105-3-115Fanatics
ProphetX+3.5-111-3.5+108ProphetX

Full market: 36 sportsbooks, consensus COLO +3. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: COLO @ ASU Spread

The Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils spread opened at ASU -3.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 3, 4:00 AM CT) and currently sits at ASU -3 across 39 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward COLO. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 10:51 AM CT, the market consensus moved through 3, shifting from -3 to -3.5 toward ASU. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 3 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.

At Sat, Nov 7, 11:42 AM CT, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward COLO by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils spread.

Across the 36 sportsbooks currently quoting the Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 22-book consensus prices COLO at +3 +105 (48.7% vig-free probability) and ASU at -3 -105 (51.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: COLO +3.5 -111 at ProphetX; ASU -3 -115 at Fanatics.

In the CFB spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 67 times, tied 11, and lost 47 season to date (125 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (67 Beat, 11 Tied, 47 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date67114712558.8%
Last 30 days549329562.8%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/colorado-buffaloes-at-arizona-state-sun-devils-spread-2026-11-07-27445" title="Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/colorado-buffaloes-at-arizona-state-sun-devils-spread-2026-11-07-27445">COLO @ ASU Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>