CFB · TotalFinal · SettledES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

BYU Cougars at Utah Utes: total closing line and CLV

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

Release Line / Price
Totals: Under 48.5 (-110) (-110) at DK ·
Current Consensus across 7 books
48.5 (3 consensus books · 7 tracked)
Market Move
48.5 to 49.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
WagerBird Fair Line & Fair Price
47 / -116
Lane CLV record
CFB game totals: 82 Beat / 8 Tied / 37 Lost (127 measured)

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 48.5 +409 (19.6% across 3 books)
Best price: 48.5 +350 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 48.5 -409 (80.4% across 3 books)
Best price: 51.5 -1735 at ProphetX

BYU @ UTAH Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM48.5+35048.5-500BetMGM
Fanatics48.5+27548.5-455Fanatics
ProphetX51.5+53951.5-1735ProphetX

Full market: 7 sportsbooks, consensus 48.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

The total opened 48.5 and closed 49.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Unlocked WagerBird Release & Closing-Line Value (CLV) Grade

  • Totals: Under 48.5 (-110)
    Released -110 at DK, Sun, Nov 1, 3:03 AM CT · Fair line 47 · Fair price -116
    Lost to the close

CLV is graded against the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released.

The WagerBird Brief: Totals: Under 48.5 (-110)

Investment Committee Thesis

BYU's reshuffled protection and the defenses' ability to force sustained drives keep combined scoring below the posted total.

Fundamental Case (2 Drivers)

Defensive resistance
14.6 PPG ALLOWED · 4.4 OPP YPP

Utah allowed 14.6 points per game through seven games, while BYU allowed 4.4 yards per play in its six-game defensive snapshot. Those defensive results make sustained execution important rather than allowing either offense to rely entirely on easy scoring. A sack, penalty or failed third down can therefore erase a possession without requiring a takeaway.

Separate regulation from overtime
24-24 REGULATION · 39-31 FINAL

BYU's latest game was tied 24-24 after regulation before finishing 39-31 in overtime. The extra possessions added 22 points without demonstrating that ordinary regulation possessions were producing that final scoring pace. Sustaining drives during the scheduled game remains a different challenge from converting the additional opportunities supplied by overtime.

Red Team Counter-Case & Risk Factors

Dampier can break contain and turn ordinary rushing plays into explosive gains. Bachmeier can punish defenders who commit heavily to run support, especially if the reshuffled line holds up. Interceptions or special-teams mistakes can create short fields that bypass the need for long drives. A close finish also raises the danger of overtime adding possessions after regulation.

CFB Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (82 Beat, 8 Tied, 37 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date8283712768.9%
Last 30 days6753110368.4%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for BYU Cougars at Utah Utes (Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/byu-cougars-at-utah-utes-total-2026-11-07-27433" title="BYU Cougars at Utah Utes Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/byu-cougars-at-utah-utes-total-2026-11-07-27433">BYU @ UTAH Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>