Why is the AF @ ARMY spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 37 books
- AF +4 (19 consensus books · 37 tracked)
- Market Move
- ARMY -3.3 to -4 (0.8 pts toward ARMY)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB spreads: 67 Beat / 11 Tied / 47 Lost (125 measured)
Why is the AF @ ARMY spread moving?
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward ARMY across 12 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
AF @ ARMY Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | AF | ARMY | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +4-110 | -4-108 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +4-109 | -4-110 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +4-110 | -4-110 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +3.5-108 | -3.5-112 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +3.5-105 | -3.5-115 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +3.5+105 | -3.5-113 | ProphetX |
Full market: 37 sportsbooks, consensus AF +4. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: AF @ ARMY Spread
The Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights spread opened at ARMY -3.3 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 3, 4:00 AM CT) and currently sits at ARMY -4 across 40 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.8 pts, with net market movement toward ARMY. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 10:13 AM CT, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward ARMY by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights spread.
Across the 37 sportsbooks currently quoting the Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices AF at +4 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability) and ARMY at -4 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: AF +4 -109 at Caesars; ARMY -3.5 -112 at FanDuel.
In the CFB spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 67 times, tied 11, and lost 47 season to date (125 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (67 Beat, 11 Tied, 47 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 67 | 11 | 47 | 125 | 58.8% |
| Last 30 days | 54 | 9 | 32 | 95 | 62.8% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/air-force-falcons-at-army-black-knights-spread-2026-11-07-27453" title="Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/air-force-falcons-at-army-black-knights-spread-2026-11-07-27453">AF @ ARMY Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>