CBB · TotalKickoff Freeze · Game In ProgressES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

San Jose State Spartans at UC Irvine Anteaters: total closing line and CLV

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

Release Line / Price
Totals: Under 146.5 (-110) (-110) at MGM ·
Current Consensus across 30 books
147.5 (7 consensus books · 30 tracked)
Market Move
146.5 to 145.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
WagerBird Fair Line & Fair Price
143.4 / -144
Lane CLV record
CBB game totals: 14 Beat / 25 Tied / 18 Lost (57 measured)

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 147.5 +100 (50% across 7 books)
Best price: 147.5 -110 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 147.5 -100 (50% across 7 books)
Best price: 151.5 -124 at ProphetX

SJST @ UCI Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM147.5-110147.5-118BetMGM
Caesars148.5-115148.5-115Caesars
DraftKings150.5-115150.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel148.5-114148.5-114FanDuel
Fanatics147.5-115147.5-115Fanatics
ProphetX151.5-103151.5-124ProphetX

Full market: 30 sportsbooks, consensus 147.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

The total opened 146.5 and closed 145.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Unlocked WagerBird Release & Closing-Line Value (CLV) Grade

  • Totals: Under 146.5 (-110)
    Released -110 at MGM, Fri, Nov 6, 8:48 PM CT · Fair line 143.4 · Fair price -144
    Beat the close (+1 pt)

CLV is graded against the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released.

The WagerBird Brief: Totals: Under 146.5 (-110)

Investment Committee Thesis

UC Irvine's interior defense can pull San Jose State's finishing back from its opener while the Anteaters' own half-court offense keeps the game from becoming a scoring race.

Fundamental Case (4 Drivers)

Interior resistance
43.1% 2P ALLOWED · 7 BLK

UC Irvine allowed 43.1% on two-point attempts last season and opened this season with seven blocks. Rioux and Emeneke provide separate sources of length around the basket. That length can challenge the close-range attempts that powered San Jose State's opening win.

A demanding finishing repeat
95 PTS · 23/30 2P

San Jose State scored 95 against UTSA while making 23 of 30 two-point attempts. Repeating that finishing level against a different interior defense is a demanding route to another scoring surge. If the paint becomes contested, the guards have to replace those baskets with jumpers or trips to the line.

Possessions still need protecting
7.2% RETURNING SCORING · 21 TO

Only 7.2% of last season's scoring returned to San Jose State, and the new group committed 21 turnovers in its opener. Those mistakes ended possessions even during a strong shooting night. Ball security and clean half-court entries become more important when the first finishing opportunity is challenged.

The other offense has limits
103.7 ADJO · 104.0 PRIOR ADJO

UC Irvine's current adjusted offensive efficiency is 103.7 points per 100 possessions, close to its prior-season 104.0. Its 92-point opener came against Chapman rather than a Division I opponent. The Anteaters can pursue an advantage through interior possessions and rebounding without needing an end-to-end contest.

Red Team Counter-Case & Risk Factors

Mason and Chammaa can make enough perimeter shots to pull the interior defenders out of the lane. Live-ball mistakes can feed UC Irvine transition baskets rather than simply remove scoring chances. Foul trouble for Rioux or Emeneke would give San Jose State a cleaner path to the rim. A close finish with repeated fouls, or overtime, can erase the remaining cushion.

CBB Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (14 Beat, 25 Tied, 18 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date1425185743.8%
Last 30 days1425185743.8%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Jose State Spartans at UC Irvine Anteaters (Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-uc-irvine-anteaters-total-2026-11-07-34129" title="San Jose State Spartans at UC Irvine Anteaters Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-uc-irvine-anteaters-total-2026-11-07-34129">SJST @ UCI Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>