CBB · SpreadKickoff Freeze · Game In ProgressES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Omaha Mavericks at Utah State Aggies: spread closing line and CLV

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

Release Line / Price
Point Spread: Omaha Mavericks +26.5 (-108) (-108) at DK ·
Current Consensus across 26 books
OMA +29.5 (12 consensus books · 26 tracked)
Market Move
USU -26 to -29.5 (3.5 pts toward USU)
WagerBird Fair Line & Fair Price
+22 / -199
Lane CLV record
CBB spreads: 26 Beat / 26 Tied / 31 Lost (83 measured)

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

OMA
Vig-free consensus +29.5 -102 (50.4% across 12 books)
Best price: +29.5 -110 at BetMGM
USU
Vig-free consensus -29.5 +102 (49.6% across 12 books)
Best price: -27.5 -115 at DraftKings

OMA @ USU Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOMAUSUUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+29.5-110-29.5-118BetMGM
Caesars+29.5-115-29.5-115Caesars
DraftKings+27.5-115-27.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel+29.5-118-29.5-112FanDuel
Fanatics+29.5-110-29.5-120Fanatics
ProphetX--30.5-122ProphetX

Full market: 26 sportsbooks, consensus OMA +29.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

USU opened -26 and closed -29.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Unlocked WagerBird Release & Closing-Line Value (CLV) Grade

  • Point Spread: Omaha Mavericks +26.5 (-108)
    Released -108 at DK, Fri, Nov 6, 8:18 PM CT · Fair line +22 · Fair price -199
    Lost to the close

CLV is graded against the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released.

The WagerBird Brief: Point Spread: Omaha Mavericks +26.5 (-108)

Investment Committee Thesis

Multiple perimeter creators and a scoring reserve give Omaha ways to answer Utah State's runs throughout the rotation.

Fundamental Case (3 Drivers)

Several guards can answer
OPENER · 45 PTS · THREE STARTING GUARDS

Cahmai Crosby scored 21 points, Deke Thompson added 13 and Grant Stubblefield scored 11 in Omaha's opener. That distributes the scoring burden across several perimeter matchups rather than leaving a single creator to answer every run. If Utah State shuts down one action, Omaha still has other guards capable of producing the next basket.

Perimeter possessions matter
OPENER · 25 3PA · 9 MAKES

Omaha attempted 25 three-pointers and made nine in the opener. That shot volume gives the Mavericks a way to respond to interior scoring without having to beat Utah State at the rim on every trip. The same reliance creates volatility, but a cluster of made perimeter shots can interrupt a long scoring run.

A reserve scoring outlet
JORDAN · 13 PTS · 24:48

Jonny Jordan Jr. supplied 13 points in 24:48 off the bench in the opener. His contribution gives Omaha another scoring option when a starting guard rests or encounters a difficult matchup. That matters across the full game because maintaining some offensive response through substitutions can prevent a comfortable Utah State lead from becoming an unchecked runaway.

Red Team Counter-Case & Risk Factors

The short turnaround can leave Omaha's guards without the legs to finish possessions or recover defensively. Utah State can turn ball pressure into transition baskets before Omaha gets its defense organized. Hornseth and Templin can force interior fouls and keep the Mavericks from completing stops with rebounds. Tosi's scoring can sustain the separation when the starting groups begin rotating.

CBB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (26 Beat, 26 Tied, 31 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date2626318345.6%
Last 30 days2626318345.6%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Omaha Mavericks at Utah State Aggies (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/omaha-mavericks-at-utah-state-aggies-spread-2026-11-07-34094" title="Omaha Mavericks at Utah State Aggies Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/omaha-mavericks-at-utah-state-aggies-spread-2026-11-07-34094">OMA @ USU Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>