CBB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: UNM -25.5 → -28.5 (-3.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the NAU @ UNM spread moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 34 books
NAU +28.5 (20 consensus books · 34 tracked)
Market Move
UNM -25.5 to -28.5 (3.0 pts toward UNM)
Lane CLV record
CBB spreads: 26 Beat / 26 Tied / 31 Lost (83 measured)

Why is the NAU @ UNM spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward UNM across 37 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.5 pts toward UNM across 18 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward UNM across 13 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Best available partner price toward UNM -27.5: Caesars (-110).

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

NAU
Vig-free consensus +28.5 -103 (50.6% across 20 books)
Best price: +28.5 -110 at Caesars
UNM
Vig-free consensus -28.5 +103 (49.4% across 20 books)
Best price: -27.5 -110 at FanDuel

NAU @ UNM Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookNAUUNMUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+28.5-115-28.5-105BetMGM
Caesars+28.5-110-28.5-110Caesars
DraftKings+28.5-112-28.5-108DraftKings
FanDuel+27.5-110-27.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics+28-110-28-110Fanatics

Full market: 34 sportsbooks, consensus NAU +28.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: NAU @ UNM Spread

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at New Mexico Lobos spread opened at UNM -25.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 1:15 PM CT) and currently sits at UNM -28.5 across 37 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.0 pts, with net market movement toward UNM. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 6:55 AM CT, 37 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UNM by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at New Mexico Lobos spread.

As of Sat, Nov 7, 1:34 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.8% toward UNM across 18 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.5 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

At Sat, Nov 7, 2:09 PM CT, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UNM by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at New Mexico Lobos spread.

As of Sat, Nov 7, 2:15 PM CT, WagerBird Modeled Fair Value and vig-free consensus price UNM -27.5 at 54.4% vig-free probability, reflecting a +4.4% Fair Value Edge relative to current partner sportsbook quotes, with the best available partner price currently at Caesars (-110).

Across the 34 sportsbooks currently quoting the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at New Mexico Lobos spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 20-book consensus prices NAU at +28.5 -103 (50.6% vig-free probability) and UNM at -28.5 +103 (49.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NAU +28.5 -110 at Caesars; UNM -27.5 -110 at FanDuel.

In the CBB spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 26 times, tied 26, and lost 31 season to date (83 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (26 Beat, 26 Tied, 31 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date2626318345.6%
Last 30 days2626318345.6%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at New Mexico Lobos (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/northern-arizona-lumberjacks-at-new-mexico-lobos-spread-2026-11-07-34109" title="Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at New Mexico Lobos Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/northern-arizona-lumberjacks-at-new-mexico-lobos-spread-2026-11-07-34109">NAU @ UNM Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>