CBB · Home Team TotalKickoff Freeze · Game In ProgressES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Monmouth Hawks at Rhode Island Rams: Home Team Total closing line and CLV

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

Release Line / Price
Team Total (URI): Under 76.5 (-120) (-120) at MGM ·
Current Consensus across 5 books
76.5 (1 consensus books · 5 tracked)
Market Move
76.5 to 75.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
WagerBird Fair Line & Fair Price
73 / -181
Lane CLV record
CBB team totals: 20 Beat / 1 Tied / 26 Lost (47 measured)

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 76.5 -128 (56.1% across 1 books)
Best price: 76.5 -155 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 76.5 +128 (43.9% across 1 books)
Best price: 78.5 -125 at DraftKings

MONM @ URI Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM76.5-15576.5+110BetMGM
DraftKings78.5-10578.5-125DraftKings

Full market: 5 sportsbooks, consensus 76.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

The Home Team Total opened 76.5 and closed 75.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Unlocked WagerBird Release & Closing-Line Value (CLV) Grade

  • Team Total (URI): Under 76.5 (-120)
    Released -120 at MGM, Fri, Nov 6, 8:48 PM CT · Fair line 73 · Fair price -181
    Beat the close (+1 pt)

CLV is graded against the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released.

The WagerBird Brief: Team Total (URI): Under 76.5 (-120)

Investment Committee Thesis

Rhode Island's opening-night shooting burst should cool against Monmouth's frontcourt length on a neutral floor.

Fundamental Case (3 Drivers)

A shooting burst, not an established baseline
103 PTS · 12/31 3PT · 1 GAME

Rhode Island scored 103 points while making 12 of 31 threes against Holy Cross. Its prior-season three-point percentage was 31.1%, so the opener's accuracy represents a substantial jump. Repeating that scoring output requires both clean shot creation and another strong perimeter shooting performance.

Length at the basket
6-11 OSEI · 6-9 SPARTALIS · 5 BLOCKS

Stephen Osei is 6-foot-11 and Stefanos Spartalis is 6-foot-9. Monmouth recorded five blocks against St. John's, giving its size a demonstrated shot-contesting route. Rhode Island must finish through that length or create clean perimeter attempts to sustain its debut efficiency.

A neutral setting
MOHEGAN SUN · NEUTRAL FLOOR

The game is at Mohegan Sun Arena rather than Rhode Island's campus arena. The Rams therefore have to reproduce their opening attack outside the setting of their home debut. Their shorter regional trip helps the logistics, but it does not turn this into a true campus home game.

Red Team Counter-Case & Risk Factors

Hinton can sustain his catch-and-shoot rhythm while Williamson and Fontenet create early paint touches. Monmouth's ballhandling mistakes can give the Rams transition chances before the big men are set. Foul trouble for Spartalis can remove a rim contest and add free throws. A close finish with intentional fouling, or overtime, can erase the scoring cushion.

CBB Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (20 Beat, 1 Tied, 26 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date201264743.5%
Last 30 days201264743.5%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Monmouth Hawks at Rhode Island Rams (Home Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/monmouth-hawks-at-rhode-island-rams-home-team-total-2026-11-07-34098" title="Monmouth Hawks at Rhode Island Rams Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/monmouth-hawks-at-rhode-island-rams-home-team-total-2026-11-07-34098">MONM @ URI Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>