CBB · TotalFinal · SettledES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Manhattan Jaspers at Maine Black Bears: total closing line and CLV

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

Release Line / Price
Totals: Over 139.5 (-106) (-106) at PX ·
Current Consensus across 14 books
131.5 (6 consensus books · 14 tracked)
Market Move
139.5 to 136.5 (3.0 pts toward Under)
WagerBird Fair Line & Fair Price
145 / -192
Lane CLV record
CBB game totals: 20 Beat / 27 Tied / 23 Lost (70 measured)

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 131.5 +144 (40.9% across 6 books)
Best price: 127.5 +105 at Fanatics
Under
Vig-free consensus 131.5 -144 (59.1% across 6 books)
Best price: 133.5 -125 at Caesars

MAN @ ME Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM130.5-140130.5+105BetMGM
Caesars133.5-105133.5-125Caesars
Fanatics127.5+105127.5-140Fanatics
ProphetX-127.5+882ProphetX

Full market: 14 sportsbooks, consensus 131.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

The total opened 139.5 and closed 136.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Unlocked WagerBird Release & Closing-Line Value (CLV) Grade

  • Totals: Over 139.5 (-106)
    Released -106 at PX, Sun, Nov 8, 8:49 AM CT · Fair line 145 · Fair price -192
    Lost to the close

CLV is graded against the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released.

The WagerBird Brief: Totals: Over 139.5 (-106)

Investment Committee Thesis

Interior scoring opportunities, perimeter volume and contributions beyond the starters give both offenses routes to sustain scoring across the full game.

Fundamental Case (3 Drivers)

An interior scoring route
MANHATTAN: 63.3% OPPONENT 2P · 2 GAMES

Manhattan's opponents have made 63.3% of their two-point attempts through the opening pair. That gives Maine a potential route to productive possessions without requiring every perimeter shot to fall. Finishes inside the arc and contact around the basket can keep scoring moving when the outside shooting fluctuates.

More than one scoring channel
MAINE: 48.0% 3PA RATE · 44.1 FTA/FGA

Maine has taken 48.0% of its field-goal attempts from three while also generating a 44.1 free-throw-attempt rate. The perimeter volume creates opportunities for multi-point possessions, while contact offers a separate scoring channel. The combination matters because the offense does not have to rely exclusively on uninterrupted jump shooting.

Scoring beyond the opening units
NOV 5 BENCH POINTS: MANHATTAN 34 · MAINE 31

Manhattan's bench supplied 34 points against UAlbany, and Maine's supplied 31 at Sacred Heart. Those contributions show that the scoring responsibility has extended beyond the opening groups. Continued production during substitutions would help sustain the full-game total rather than leaving the entire task to the starters.

Red Team Counter-Case & Risk Factors

Maine can turn this into a long half-court game by walking the ball up and forcing Manhattan to defend multiple actions. Manhattan's guards can lose possessions against ball pressure instead of generating shots. Cold perimeter shooting would be especially damaging because both teams devote a large share of attempts to threes. If either side builds a decisive lead, reduced late fouling and reserve-heavy possessions can remove the closing scoring burst.

CBB Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (20 Beat, 27 Tied, 23 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date2027237046.5%
Last 30 days2027237046.5%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Manhattan Jaspers at Maine Black Bears (Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/manhattan-jaspers-at-maine-black-bears-total-2026-11-08-34136" title="Manhattan Jaspers at Maine Black Bears Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/manhattan-jaspers-at-maine-black-bears-total-2026-11-08-34136">MAN @ ME Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>